Political science professor at the Hertie School of Governance in Berlin
Mark Kayser
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New #openaccess "Citizen forecasting in a mixed electoral system: The 2021 German federal election as a test case" (with Andreas Murr, @lstoetze.bsky.social and @markkayser.bsky.social) in International Journal of Forecasting. doi.org/10.1016/j.ij... 1/
Gratifying to see the @civica.bsky.social Political Behavior and Institutions meetings doing so well! Thanks to @zsolt.bsky.social and CEU for their great job hosting our third annual meeting and to @chriswratil.bsky.social for his keynote! www.ceu.edu/news/2025-06...
The Romanian School of Government (SNSPA) has just nominated Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize! How does @civica.bsky.social, and its members, feel about this (SNSPA is a member of CIVICA, which includes LSE, @sciencespo.bsky.social, Bocconi, @eui-eu.bsky.social etc)?
snspa.ro/en/snspa-the...
Intergenerational occupational mobility influences far-right support across both countries and time but only downward mobility matters in a correctly estimated model. Happy to see this work with @alanjacobs.bsky.social appearing in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Remember, the EPSS submission deadline -- 7 November -- is getting closer! Don't forget to apply!
Delighted to see this out! Are individuals equally willing to trade off different public goods for partisanship? Would they prefer in-group loyalty to election integrity and to national security in a real context of threat? Take a look!
I’ve long used FiveThirtyEight’s interactive “Hack Your Way To Scientific Glory” to illustrate the idea of p-hacking when I teach statistics. But ABC/Disney killed the site earlier this month :(
So I made my own with #rstats and Observable and #QuartoPub ! stats.andrewheiss.com/hack-your-way/
📢 EPSS community updates!
We’re excited to share some milestones and announcements with you 👇
epssnet.org/news/
On May 26 CEU hosted the third annual Political Behavior and Institutions Conference, a thematic activity organized through the CIVICA alliance.
www.ceu.edu
On Thursday, March 13, 2025, the Senate of the National University of Political Studies and Public Administration – SNSPA, the Romanian School of Government, decided to initiate the procedures for nom...
snspa.ro
Much debate has centered on the relative effects of economic and cultural factors on support for far-right parties. Recent work, however, has proposed a synthes...
📢 Call for Papers for EPSS 2026 conference in Belfast is out: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
This we’’ll feature the last two sections today:
🔝 This week: Comparative Politics of Development & Political Representation
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NEW -
How Bad Can It Get? Polarization and the Public Interest When It Matters - https://cup.org/3MBqFV9
- Mark A. Kayser & @knalewajko.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Very happy that my paper has just been published at @apsrjournal.bsky.social!
Do insurgents help or hurt genocide targets? Contrary to common belief, I find that insurgent presence reduced Jewish victimisation during the Holocaust in France.
Here's what I discovered 👇
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We're hiring a Professor of Military Strategy and Technology @hertieschool.bsky.social @hertiesecurity.bsky.social!
More details here: apply.interfolio.com/163523
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