Associate Professor of Public Policy, Politics, and Education @UVA.
I share social science.
John Holbein
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Great new paper in The Review of Economic Studies using randomized incentives to detect non-response bias, using administrative data to provide ground truth for comparison. While incentives increased participation, they didn't reliably reduce NR bias
academic.oup.com/restud/advan...
While LLMs will try to follow good research practices by default, you can pretty easily convince them to p-hack for you. In one case (out of the 4 tested), the LLM moved the result from p > 0.05 to p < 0.001. github.com/janetmalzahn...
New w/@scottclifford.bsky.social.
Lots of work uses agree-disagree scales, and a lit review shows these are 1) frequently just measured in one direction (agree = higher trait) and 2) correlated with each other.
This has potentially big issues for conclusions.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Redistricting Reforms Reduce Gerrymandering by Constraining Partisan Actors is now forthcoming in the APSR!
We use a game theoretic treatment and continuous DiD(iD) to show when redistricting reforms work
with @corymccartan.com, @simko.bsky.social, Emma Ebowe, Michael Zhao, and Kosuke Imai
Kevin Collins
Ryan Briggs
Nothing quite like the uniquely demoralizing experience of a reviewer recommending rejection for a paper they clearly didn’t read very closely.
if you are still on Twitter/X and get any suscpicious DMs from the person who hacked me, can you let me know?
There's one trait where economists clearly outperform the other social sciences:
Hubris.
Whoa.
The Republican advantage among Mormons has dropped nearly 20 points over the past two decades.
John Holbein
John Holbein
Drew Engelhardt
Chris Kenny, PhD
John Holbein
John Holbein
John Holbein
"Do virtual museums highlighting the experiences of minorities persuade visitors? Evidence from a study on bias toward Asian Americans"
John Holbein
Political Behavior - Scholars frequently measure dispositions like populism, conspiracism, racism, and sexism by asking survey respondents whether they agree or disagree with statements...