British Academy Postdoctoral Fellow at Queen Mary University of London.
matthewbarnfield.co.uk
Matthew Barnfield
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doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Alarmed to realise that my attempt to offer a fresh perspective on the partisan "bias" in electoral expectations, and what it means for democracy, was accepted for publication almost a year ago.
tl;dr: voters hope their vote isn't futile, and that's OK.
Grateful for the chance to discuss private members' bills (usage, reform, etc) today at the @instituteforgovernment.org.uk - alongside @kimleadbeatermp.bsky.social, @paulbrand.bsky.social, @drhannahwhite.bsky.social & Luke Norbury.
Recording here:
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/assist...
tl;dr: a two-minute video summary to whet the appetite.
youtube.com/shorts/xOP8t...
Karl here gives an excellent and nuanced overview of some of what our research (w/ @philipjcowley.bsky.social suggests about short-(and long-)termism in British politics.
1/4
And there is certainly a reading of these findings as suggesting that voters are short-termist, which @philipjcowley.bsky.social explores with characteristic panache:
www.ft.com/content/820c...
3/4
We previously made Karl's point about the balance between addressing short- and long-term issues here. As Karl discusses, there is a connection between the two. What you do in the short term affects what you can do in the long:
theconversation.com/keir-starmer...
2/4
But, as Karl alludes to in his remarks, the *current* situation is complicated. There is a complex interplay between "patience", what was promised, delivery, and clarity/consistency of vision, as I set out here:
open.substack.com/pub/drmatthe...
4/4
Latest piece for the @financialtimes.com, on who gets to vote for a new Labour Prime Minister
www.ft.com/content/d2d9...
An expert panel drew on lessons from the recent assisted dying bill and other PMBs to consider how backbench MPs should approach complex issues.
Is it rational to expect to win elections? @mbarnfield.bsky.social argues so-called "wishful thinking" about election outcomes is part of how voters make rational sense of their role in democracies. Read OPEN ACCESS: buff.ly/IbHauRb
@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social @sagepub.com
Philip Cowley
tl;dr (but do read it!): less educated, older, more men than women, dissatisfied, anti-immigration/'woke'/EU, and reckon welfare benefits are too generous.
What a fantastic idea! We can use Insta to tell people that the government is like a household! This will help guide voters towards better choices!
Discussed ongoing research with @mbarnfield.bsky.social and @philipjcowley.bsky.social on the BBC’s Moral Maze yesterday evening - about what the ‘short term’ and the ‘long term’ mean in politics and policymaking.
www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...
