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The United States and China each believe that they can use new technologies to overcome the other’s advantages—and “the more they indulge this prewar hope, the more likely they are to find themselves in a protracted conflict,” writes Joshua Rovner.
Are those holiday gift cards already burning a hole in your pocket? Invest in something that lasts longer than the season. The TNSR winter issue, featuring our newly redesigned logo, is now available in print. Order your copy now from @utexaspress.bsky.social! utpress.utexas.edu/journals/tex...
2mo
5mo
China is undergoing major changes in how it thinks about nuclear weapons, as indicated in the just released China Military Power Report. 2 developments stand out. media.defense.gov/2025/Dec/23/...
Trump's peactime grand strategy favors flexibility over principle. But this is a recipe for strategic confusion in war. Re-upping a piece from last year: warontherocks.com/2025/01/star...
Can autonomous weapons make war less brutal? Instead of viewing autonomy solely as a risk, Nathan Wood (@woodnathang.bsky.social) posits that these systems—when used within the correct parameters—offer a pathway to more discriminate and legally compliant warfare. tnsr.org/2025/12/bomb...
Professor @jrovner.bsky.social examines what history can tell us about the trajectory of US-China relations in this new piece published in @foreignaffairs.com. Read it here: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/real-thucydides-trap
5mo
3mo
www.foreignaffairs.com
DC friends, @ldfreedman.bsky.social, Mara Karlin, Michael O'Hanlon, and I will be talking strategy at The Brookings Institution on March 24. Lots to discuss... www.brookings.edu/events/us-st...
Overconfidence could draw America and China into a war.
The Real Thucydides Trap
6mo
2mo
In @foreignaffairs.com I write about how short wars become long ones. www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
Some thoughts in @warontherocks.bsky.social on Trump's grand strategy after Iran warontherocks.com/2026/03/what...
What is sabotage and how is it a form of statecraft in world politics? A new article co-authored by @jrovner.bsky.social in @ejisbisa.bsky.social explores this concept, which has important implications for understanding contemporary security challenges. Read more: www.american.edu/sis/research...
3mo
media.defense.gov
2mo
3mo
Overconfidence could draw America and China into a war.
www.foreignaffairs.com
6mo
The Real Thucydides Trap
On March 24, join Brookings for a discussion on U.S. strategy in the current geopolitical moment.
www.brookings.edu
US strategy in a turbulent world | Brookings
The Real Thucydides Trap
Overconfidence could draw America and China into a war.
www.foreignaffairs.com
In his 2025 article, “Start Making Sense, Strategy and Grand Strategy in the Trump Administration,” Joshua Rovner argued Trump’s flexible approach to a
warontherocks.com
Texas National Security Review
What Recent Military Operations Signal About Trump’s Grand Strategy
Texas National Security Review
Joshua Rovner's new co-authored article in the European Journal of International Security examines the nature and scope of sabotage as a form of statecraft.
www.american.edu
Joshua Rovner, Sand in the gears: Sabotage in world politics
American University School of International Service
Foreign Affairs
Joshua Rovner
Joshua Rovner
Caitlin Talmadge
Joshua Rovner
Joshua Rovner
Donald Trump must find a way to cut short his ill-considered conflict with Iran. His rash approach is sowing chaos econ.st/3OYibZ1
3mo
The Economist