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Industry registrations in Denmark are basically the only thing keeping them from having their transition completed all in all. But it's still just a matter of when, not if. Private People simply switch a bit faster than Companies do.
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Vans in Denmark transition to BEV surprisingly stable.
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LeRaffl
LeRaffl
🇩🇰 Denmark (Vans) - May 26 - BEV Trajectory
44.4% BEV
0.8% PHEV
54.8% ICE
Trailing 12 months are:
35.7% BEV
1.3% PHEV
63.0% ICE
Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
Industry trajectory should change the ICE curve in the coming months a little. BEV curve will probably stay almost the same imho.
🇩🇰 Denmark (Industry) - May 26 - BEV Trajectory
46.4% BEV
0.4% PHEV
53.3% ICE
Trailing 12 months are:
46.3% BEV
1.9% PHEV
51.8% ICE
Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
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🇩🇰 Denmark (Vans) - TTM Market Split
Jun24–May25 vs Jun25–May26
+14.1pp BEV (21.5% → 35.7%)
−1.5pp PHEV (2.8% → 1.3%)
−12.7pp ICE (75.7% → 63.0%)
PHEV peaked at 3.0% in 2025-08.
If the last 6 months continued linearly, BEV would become the largest powertrain in 2027-08.
Rarely do we see a transition with so little deviation from the trajectory than with Vans in Denmark. And no PHEV interim even.
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🇩🇰 Denmark (Industry) - TTM Market Split
Jun24–May25 vs Jun25–May26
+10.1pp BEV (36.2% → 46.3%)
−1.9pp PHEV (3.9% → 1.9%)
−8.2pp ICE (60.0% → 51.8%)
PHEV peaked at 7.9% in 2024-06
If the last 6 months go on linearly, BEV becomes the largest powertrain in 2026-09
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LeRaffl
LeRaffl
LeRaffl
LeRaffl
LeRaffl
LeRaffl
