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Math dude, doing math with BEV market shares https://ts.la/raphael59773

LeRaffl

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Rarely do we see a transition with so little deviation from the trajectory than with Vans in Denmark. And no PHEV interim even.

Industry trajectory should change the ICE curve in the coming months a little. BEV curve will probably stay almost the same imho.

🇩🇰 Denmark (Industry) - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 46.4% BEV 0.4% PHEV 53.3% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 46.3% BEV 1.9% PHEV 51.8% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

Vans in Denmark transition to BEV surprisingly stable.

🇩🇰 Denmark (Vans) - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 44.4% BEV 0.8% PHEV 54.8% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 35.7% BEV 1.3% PHEV 63.0% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

🇩🇰 Denmark (Industry) - TTM Market Split Jun24–May25 vs Jun25–May26 +10.1pp BEV (36.2% → 46.3%) −1.9pp PHEV (3.9% → 1.9%) −8.2pp ICE (60.0% → 51.8%) PHEV peaked at 7.9% in 2024-06 If the last 6 months go on linearly, BEV becomes the largest powertrain in 2026-09

🇩🇰 Denmark (Vans) - TTM Market Split Jun24–May25 vs Jun25–May26 +14.1pp BEV (21.5% → 35.7%) −1.5pp PHEV (2.8% → 1.3%) −12.7pp ICE (75.7% → 63.0%) PHEV peaked at 3.0% in 2025-08. If the last 6 months continued linearly, BEV would become the largest powertrain in 2027-08.

8h

Industry registrations in Denmark are basically the only thing keeping them from having their transition completed all in all. But it's still just a matter of when, not if. Private People simply switch a bit faster than Companies do.

8h

LeRaffl