Portobello and Craigmillar was a comfortable 13% lead for the SNP over Labour after transfers. SNP likely favoured here given Labour's current woes. Curveball: the Greens did so well last month that they might be in contention, but definitely not the favourites.
Ballot Box Scotland
By-Election Preview: Larkhall (South Lanarkshire) 9th of July 2026
A by-election in a staunchly Pro-Union part of the country is a huge opportunity for Reform to score a win, though Labour will benefit more from SNP transfer flows.
Edinburgh by-elections due on the 3rd of September. In 2022, Labour beat Greens by 2% after transfers. Given what happened last month, Greens should surely be ahead. If they win, that'd be only their second by-election win ever. Curveball: Lib Dems have a formidable local machine.
Similarly you can follow in real time via an official website in Peru as Keiko Fujimori inches ever closer to a potential fourth absolutely razor thin defeat in a row...
Sorry but if a country on track for it's 10th President in as many years can run such an official platform what's our excuse?
Hasn't started yet but you will note in the letter to the Minister yesterday I called for a dedicated, official web portal for election results, rather than just "someone reads out numbers on a stage and maybe a PDF goes on a website", and here's Jersey, population ~100k, managing to have one.
It is outrageous that it's 2026 and not just Scotland but basically entire UK has no official source for election results in live time, and indeed we even take pride in our archaic approach, ooh isn't it wonderful watching people line up on a stage, charming, quaint! No! It's a failure to modernise!
