With the caveat that marginality can now be calculated several ways…it isn’t at all
straightforward to reconcile a Burnham win in Makerfield with Reform being on track for a (narrow) majority. Yes, the by election is different. But not *so* different that it wouldn’t show what is still possible.
Jane Green
The 30 seats that Reform should win most easily in a 2029 General Election - based on the 2024 arithmetic - if they were sweeping to 250-300-350 seats across the country to be the largest party
Makerfield is 29th on the list of target seats by size of opponent's majority.
