Informative look at the Russian war economy as a structural force that disincentivizes peace - from @seva.bsky.social and @jeremymorris.bsky.social www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/inert...
An excellent article from @jeremymorris.bsky.social and @seva.bsky.social on Putin's self-inflicted constraints when it comes to the Ukraine war. Especially important reading for Western policymakers who spend too much time "trying to read Putin's mind." www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/inert...
I mean that part is obvious I suppose. The more interesting question for me is -- what can AI actually do for theory? And here, new empirical discoveries that force theoretical revision seem the most plausible. That's how democratic peace theory came about, after all!
yep. this is a crazy stat, for example:
After more than four years of fighting in Ukraine, “Russia’s economy and society have been reorganized around war,” write @seva.bsky.social and @jeremymorris.bsky.social. In fact, “war has so transformed the economy that it might collapse without it.”
Russian economy and society have been reorganized around war. There are now powerful domestic incentives that make ending the war difficult and even dangerous for Russia’s president.
Jeremy Morris @jeremymorris.bsky.social and myself in Foreign Affairs (open access)
Russian economy and society have been reorganized around war. There are now powerful domestic incentives that make ending the war difficult and even dangerous for Russia’s president.
Jeremy Morris @jeremymorris.bsky.social and myself in Foreign Affairs (open access)
Alexander Clarkson
Great essay by @seva.bsky.social and @jeremymorris.bsky.social about why it will be hard for Putin to end the war without throwing Russia into chaos.
“The central technology of autocratic rule is not repression but administration. …Purges, coups, and dramatic confrontations are the exceptions and often symptoms of failure.”
I look at some new work on comparative autocracy.
Russian economy and society have been reorganized around war. There are now powerful domestic incentives that make ending the war difficult and even dangerous for Russia’s president.
Jeremy Morris @jeremymorris.bsky.social and myself in Foreign Affairs (open access)
Not to mention returning veterans, apart from being without income, may be 'ethically challenged' after all they've seen and done in Ukraine.
Russian economy and society have been reorganized around war. There are now powerful domestic incentives that make ending the war difficult and even dangerous for Russia’s president.
Jeremy Morris @jeremymorris.bsky.social and myself in Foreign Affairs (open access)
