👨🏻🔬 PhD candidate in political science at @stawi-univie.bsky.social
👨🏻🏫 Lecturer of comparative politics at @univie.ac.at
🕵🏻♂️ Coalitions, legislative behavior, party competition
🔎 South America, Europe, and Japan
🏠 osamura.org
Koichi Osamura
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This builds on our earlier work in @ejprjournal.bsky.social, where we showed that margins of error shape vote choices at the top of the race. Now we find the same is true at electoral thresholds. Polls & their communication matter throughout the ballot. 👇🏁
doi.org/10.1111/1475...
New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social)
Do opinion polls shape election results?
Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Excited to share our new paper in @thejop.bsky.social with @krausewe.bsky.social! Parties polling just below an electoral threshold are far less likely to clear it: a self-fulfilling prophecy that diminishes when polls communicate uncertainty. 🗳️📊
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Christina Gahn
Christina Gahn
Werner Krause
New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social)
Do opinion polls shape election results?
Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
1/4 New article at EJPR!
@ChristinaGahn & I explore the impact of displaying margins of error (MoE) in public opinion polls on citizens' voting intentions.
We use a vignette experiment with > 3000 respondents in Germany.
Paper (Open Access): tinyurl.com/y28fvfk8
polisky commsky polcom
Werner Krause
Werner Krause
Upcoming Guest Talk! 🎤
We are happy to announce that Christoffer Green-Pedersen will be holding a talk on the topic "Coalition Voting in Comparative Perspective: Under What Circumstance do Voters take Coalitions into Account?" on 1st of June.
Happy to contribute once again with the @jornalexpresso.bsky.social and the great Hélder Gomes for an article about the rumors about the "new" Russian interference on the European stability through nostalgic sectors in Austria. My two cents were on how Austrian parties and see (or don't) the matter.
2,5 Milliarden weniger für die Universitäten 🤯
Entspricht inflationsbereinigt einem Personalabbau von bis zu 20% der Beschäftigten
Proteste am 27./28. Mai 2026 in Wien, Linz, Graz, Salzburg, Klagenfurt + Innsbruck geplant
unigewerkschaft-bv13.goed.at
@nuwiss.bsky.social #IchBinHanna #UnisRetten
🎯 New paper alert! It includes the main theoretical & empirical contribution of my dissertation: disentangling targeting and tailoring in political social media advertising. Really happy @meinungsfuehrer.bsky.social and I found such a great home for it 🏠
Open Access 👉 doi.org/10.1080/1369... 1/4
Pastor Sergeant Isidório, an incumbent Brazilian MP, publicly apologized for mistakenly voting against a bill to reduce working hours during a committee session.
The catch is that he couldn't have voted anyway, as he was only an replacement member.
Ian Hussey
Despite the widespread use of data-driven campaigning (DDC), there is limited conceptual clarity and empirical understanding of how political parties employ the advertising strategies of targeting ...
Institut für Staatswissenschaft / Department of Government
Moscovo quer fazer de Viena o centro de uma “nova Áustria-Hungria”, conservadora e pró-russa. O projeto consta de uma fuga de documentos da fábrica de trolls do Kremlin, a Social Design Agency, revela...
"Bei 5,1 Milliarden, die im Budget hin- und hergeschoben werden, sind 2,5 Milliarden Euro, die von den Unis genommen werden, mehr als unverhältnismäßig", sagt der Rektor der Universität Wien.
www.derstandard.at/story/300000...
Klaudia Wegschaider
Kommenden Mittwoch wollen die Rektorinnen und Rektoren am Ring demonstrieren. Aus Protest steigen sie auch aus dem Hochschulstrategieprozess des Wissenschaftsressorts aus
