The sun has calmed down with low sunspot number and low probability of stronger flares. Eruptive events are mainly filament lift-offs at the moment. The regions that are approaching the east limb appear to be in decay as well.
CME after long duration C-Class solar flare from region 4465 towards NE with classic 3-part structure, halo, ≈800 km/s, Type II and IV radio bursts, no energetic particles, could graze earth on Saturday, 2026-06-13. The core will probably miss us.
Two filament eruptions. The first produced a CME that could graze earth. The second one near the east limb shows gorgeous 'supra arcade downflows' a.k.a. SADpoles (image credits SDO AIA)
Long duration M1.86 solar flare with large filament eruption heading southeast↙︎. The solar storm (CME) could graze earth in 2-3 days. A microwave radio burst and a type II radio sweep were detected, estimated velocity 838 km/s. Possible release of energetic particles.
The CME is still 0.2-0.3 AU away – it will likely be a glancing blow rather than a flank hit (the later the arrival the weaker the impact)
Strong M7.6 solar flare erupted with a massive amount of plasma. The associated coronal mass ejection is deflected away from earth but very likely has earth-directed components.
Images from the sun's far side: A large cluster of sunspot groups is approaching the eastern limb. It will be visible soon. We'll see how much potential for significant events it has.
Image credits: Solar Orbiter EUI FSI 304, 174; PHI FDT Continuum, Magnetogram
Some words, images and videos on the current events (earth-directed CMEs) spacewx.org/strong-flare...
☀️ 24 hours of magnetic flux emergence around active region 4455. Spots of opposite polarity are developing west⇢ of the main spot right into the adjacent coronal hole. As we would expect negative spots east⇠ of the large positive spot this region is called 'Anti-Hale'.
Filament eruption and M1.8 solar flare: CME with earth–directed components - mid-latitude aurora not ruled out – analysis, images, videos, model runs
spacewx.org/cme-after-m1...
Long duration M1.86 solar flare with large filament eruption heading southeast↙︎. The solar storm (CME) could graze earth in 2-3 days. A microwave radio burst and a type II radio sweep were detected, estimated velocity 838 km/s. Possible release of energetic particles.
Strong M9.3 solar flare (R2 radio blackout) with strong microwave radio burst + type IV radio emission indicative of a decent CME (solar storm). A halo to the north is visible in coronagraphs, a front to southwest as well. We likely have a narrow but fast (≈ 1000 km/s) earth-directed CME here.
