The CME is still 0.2-0.3 AU away – it will likely be a glancing blow rather than a flank hit (the later the arrival the weaker the impact)
Marko Rummelsburg
Long duration M1.86 solar flare with large filament eruption heading southeast↙︎. The solar storm (CME) could graze earth in 2-3 days. A microwave radio burst and a type II radio sweep were detected, estimated velocity 838 km/s. Possible release of energetic particles.