I think for specialists it's also a very good chance to compare the state-space model approach with the modelling of bsky.app/profile/pymc...
I also encourage people to read the paper that makes the inference possible on our side:
arxiv.org/abs/2308.02414
We summarise popular methods used for skill rating in competitive sports, along with their inferential paradigms and introduce new approaches based on sequential Monte Carlo and discrete hidden Markov...
New PyMC model forecasts the entire 2026 World Cup group stage: scorelines and advancement odds for all 48 teams.
Opening day it nailed Mexico 2-0 and Korea 2-1. England, Spain, and Brazil lead; Group D is chaos.
Read the full blog here: dub.sh/hBW61BZ
#PyMC #WorldCup2026