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Valadao is now at 41% in the top-two primary results, which is an extremely bad sign for the GOP in this seat. If Valadao won after this, it would be the lowest % for a winning incumbent party in a top-two congressional primary in CA (since 2012) or WA (since 2008).
15h
Geoffrey Skelley
GOP Rep. David Valadao is at just 42% with roughly 72% of votes counted. The GOP has always been >50% in round 1 in his prior House races, & GOP support typically declines in November with higher turnout. This heavily Latino seat passed Prop 50 by 18 points in 2025, & Dems look favored to flip it
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Stephen Wolf
Democrat Randy Villegas declares victory in #CA22, which would set up a general election against GOP Rep. David Valadao. No AP call yet, but Villegas has a 31-27 lead over the second-place Dem, Jasmeet Bains, that isn't likely to go away.
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The Downballot