No feeling like arguing for 40 minutes with a confident idiot, only to realize they were right for all the wrong reasons. [1.2em]
At a technical university the steps of Pearl’s ladder are called stochastics, stochastic control and optimal transport
wikipedia turns 25 today! the last unenshittified major website! backbone of online info! triumph of humanity! powered by urge of unpaid randos to correct each other! somehow mostly reliable! "good thing wikipedia works in practice, because it sure doesn't work in theory" - old wiki adage
Zorn's lemma: Transfinite induction as a service
This is basically my villain origin story.
"How old are you?" (unique responses)
arXiv📈🤖
Betting on Bets: Anytime-Valid Tests for Stochastic Dominance
By Arnold, Choe, Scarsini et al
arXiv📈🤖
The Difference Between "Replicable" and "Not replicable" is not Itself Scientifically Replicable
By Devezer, Buzbas
Yes, that's the contrast of interest
The relevant observations are imo 1. MH is a causal inference problem first and a probability problem second, and 2. the association usually called collider bias is information you can make use of for decision rather than just being, as it normally is, a problem
Moritz Schauer
Moritz Schauer
depths of wikipedia
Moritz Schauer
Darren Dahly
Dust behaves as if someone put a minus sign in front of the Laplacian: dust ends up in the corners instead of spread out.