For a while this was the "serious" position in the US. It's why people like @mzjacobson.bsky.social were attacked. Almost as if they were "heretics". Turns out the heretics were right.
I think for most it's a way to make the grid more reliable, not to replace it. Certainly true in the Netherlands (but we have winters where solar panels are close to useless).
The latest CFSv2 model results for El Nino (ONI) anomalies later this year are kinda nuts, with a peak at nearly 3.9C in November.
NOAA needs to once again raise the y-axis range; here is what it should look like without all the runs above 4C cut off:
Truth!
JUST DROPPED: For years I thought industrial electrification potential was limited.
How wrong I was.
Engineering studies point to 90%+. Long term scenarios support this.
Technology is much further ahead than we think. Question is whether policy keeps up.
janrosenow.substack.com/p/industry-f...
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Bijna hetzelfde als de nucleaire grafiek maar geflipt. Grappig he?
So you mean 5% natural gas for now and 5% efuel in the future?
Way larger and what they start the article with as a kind of gotcha, never quantifying that way larger is still very small compared to the usual suspects.
How far can industry run on electricity?Much ffurther and faster than the 'hard-to-abate' label suggests.
Right definition, but as the price per MWh of batteries drops faster than LDES solutions, it increasingly encroaches on what was previously LDES territory. (E.g. days instead of hours.)
And if Sulfur-air, Iron-air, Sodium-sulfur or Aluminum-sulfur pan out you are talking weeks of battery storage.
Auke Hoekstra
Auke Hoekstra
Auke Hoekstra
Zeke Hausfather
Jan Rosenow
Auke Hoekstra
Auke Hoekstra
Auke Hoekstra
Auke Hoekstra
The idea that only nuclear or gas can provide "firm power" -- the last line of defense against the relentless advance of clean energy -- is going the way of the dodo.
There are no arguments left. The only reason to fight progress now is corruption & raw political power.
Pakistan is now the world's #2 solar panel importer.
More than India, more than the entire Gulf.
Almost none of it policy-driven. Grid power is costly & unreliable, so households go solar themselves.
But does that push grid fees higher for everyone left behind?
More soon: janrosenow.substack.com
This Belgian had no idea that there also was a paralympics for beers.
