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A strategy targeting those driving gun violence in Baltimore's hardest-hit district cut shootings and homicides by a third in 18 months, with no rise in overall arrests, from Kapustin, Chalfin, Biddle, Wade, Khade, Layana, Struhl, and Braga www.nber.org/papers/w35292
Proposing a resolution to a foundational question in general equilibrium theory, “when is an equilibrium stable?”, that has remained largely unresolved for nearly 150 years, from Iván Werning and Guido Lorenzoni www.nber.org/papers/w35205
Featured in the latest Digest: Banks vs. Private Credit Funds: A Balance-Sheet Comparison
www.nber.org/digest/20260...
NBER
Introducing Geographic PageRank, an innovative measure of place quality that is based on migration decisions, employing a recursive algorithm that leverages the full network of migration flows, from Alex Bell, Sophie Calder-Wang, and Shusheng Zhong www.nber.org/papers/w35294
Can we predict who will struggle in the labor? Using NLSY79 data to show it is possible to identify weakly attached workers by their late twenties, from Rui Castro, Jiyoung Kim, Fabian Lange, Jérôme Larivière, and Markus Poschke www.nber.org/papers/w35295
Estimating the causal effect of height on adolescents’ body image, encompassing self-perceptions of weight, the accuracy of those perceptions, and weight-management aspirations, from Monica Deza, Neiva J. Fortes, and Maria Zhu www.nber.org/papers/w35293
Testing what gets bureaucrats to implement mandated programs. Incentives, evidence, support: zero effect. Reminder phone calls: +20 percentage points. Attention matters, from Patrick Agte, Daniel R. Morales, Christopher Neilson, Sebastián Otero, and Gautam Rao www.nber.org/papers/w35291
NBER
US drinking water pollution has fallen rapidly; Safe Drinking Water Act loans reduce pollution and save lives. Analyzing 266 million pollution readings, from Keiser, @bhashmazumder.bsky.social, @davidmolitor.bsky.social, and @joseph-s-shapiro.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w35288
Featured in the latest Bulletin on the Economics of Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias: The Financial Impact of Cognitive Decline Before Dementia Diagnosis
www.nber.org/ba/202601/fi...
The five largest US tech firms are nearly doubling capex—from $380B in 2025 to $755B in 2026. They face bankruptcy unless productivity booms commensurately, from Jessica Wachter and Jonathan Wachter www.nber.org/papers/w35290
