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While I'm having fun, France's grid was already clean-dominated, but its residual gas use swings with nuclear availability, and has now fallen to the lowest levels across available data.
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Full paper is here: www.nber.org/papers/w35135
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The U.S. has 578 GW of operating natural gas capacity, more than Europe’s peak electricity demand. At least 66 GW is in the pipeline.
By request, you can look at clean electricity dominance in France back through 2015 (granular data are not easily accessible before then).
This is the most boring energy chart I've made, and that's the point. In France, clean power (read: nearly all nuclear) has beat fossil every single day since 2021. No exceptions, no drama (except for the 2022 outages). A decarbonized grid looks like nothing happening.
Today is #ShowYourStripes day, using data visualization to convey global warming trends to non-scientists. This version splits at "Today" into five climate scenarios, each era a different shade of red.
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Excited to share a new preprint with Asa Watten and Geoff Blanford. Are data centers raising your electric bill? Our causal evidence says the opposite: they modestly lowered U.S. retail rates from 2015-24. Asa's thread walks through it. Summary here: restservice.epri.com/publicattach...
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Worth noting: 66 GW is what’s formally filed with EIA. The Halcyon tracker, which mines air permits and regulatory docs, finds 212 GW under development. Check out this great article from @nathanielbullard.com here: halcyon.io/blog/machine...
The optimistic read is that this can apply to electrification, too. Electric vehicles and heat pumps need not raise bills (and may lower them) while cutting emissions. Comments very welcome on the preprint. Read it here: arxiv.org/abs/2606.19777
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John Bistline
John Bistline
John Bistline
John Bistline
Trump fired the BLS chief for allegedly rigging jobs numbers. Cool new paper finds the act of firing her (and the uncertainty it created) likely cost the economy more than the entire annual BLS budget.
John Bistline
John Bistline
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John Bistline
John Bistline
John Bistline
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
The Value of Reliable Statistics
John Bistline
One year of Halcyon's Gas Power Plant Tracker: 382 assets, 212+ GW under development across 44 US states, tripled from 65.6 GW and 134 plants a year ago.
halcyon.io
212 gigawatts of US gas power plants
We estimate that data centers caused average retail electricity rates to fall modestly in the United States from 2015 to 2024 using an instrumental variables approach. Despite prevailing sentiment, th...
arxiv.org
Have Data Centers Raised Your Electric Bill? Causal Evidence from the United States
🚨New preprint with @bistline.bsky.social and Geoff Blanford where we estimate the *causal* effect of data centers on avg residential electricity prices. DCs probably didn't increase your elc bill in the past. They certainly did not on average. Implications and caveats...🧵 arxiv.org/pdf/2606.19777
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asa watten
arxiv.org