We have a new version of this paper out. The headline results are the sameโpolitical science must filter results heavily for statistical significanceโbut we've added many extensions and rewritten much of it in response to feedback (thank you!).
A quick thread on updates ๐
Join us for a panel on party strategies in Germanyโs 2026 super election year!
๐๏ธ 29 May 2026, 2โ4 PM
๐ Senatssaal, HU Berlin
๐ฌ Research insights + roundtable with guests from politics and civil society. Reception & networking afterwards.
๐ฃ๏ธ In German
More info & sign-up:
hu-govlab.de/events/
โจ Looking forward to welcoming the fabulous Jae Jae Spoon to our Politics Lecture Series at @humboldtuni.bsky.social tomorrow.
๐ Come and join us!
On my way to the inaugural @epssnet.bsky.social conference in Belfast. I'm very much looking forward to presenting two papers!
Paper I on party strategies in contested liberal democracies: 13:30-15:10, 20 June, Lagan B (Hilton)
Dan Greaney, the Emmy-winning writer who wrote The Simpsons episode 'Bart To The Future', which โpredictedโ a Trump presidency 16 years before it happened, is now apparently running in 2028.
Many of you have asked me for a full-blown desktop version of SciLove. Here it is! ๐
My favorite part is the redesigned feed: now features a progress bar plus an article queue so you always know whatโs next.
So excited to be at the @epssnet.bsky.social Conference! Interested in the link between heat and everyday aggression, and what we can learn about it from one million amateur football matches? I'd love to see you there:
๐ 19 June
๐ฅ 9:00โ10:40
๐ Meeting Room 2a (ICC)
#EPSS2026
If you think the world is too chaotic today, I would not recommend you to read Anthropic's new report about Claude Mythos, their newest large language model: www-cdn.anthropic.com/53566bf5440a...
๐ข We're hiring for my project RESPOL on residential mobility & electoral realignment
๐ University of Hamburg
๐ 4y, 75% FTE
๐ pol behavior, comp politics, regional inequalities
๐ quant, administrative & survey data
Please share with talented MA students!
๐ www.uni-hamburg.de/en/stellenan...
Dan Greaney, the Emmy-winning writer who wrote The Simpsons episode 'Bart To The Future', which โpredictedโ a Trump presidency 16 years before it happened, is now apparently running in 2028.
With conscription again under debate, @ivancanzio.bsky.social and I examined how conscription was institutionalized across 18 European countries and assessed how its suspension was associated with menโs early-career occupational placement.
