Senior Research Fellow Goethe University Frankfurt | Comparative Politics | Interested in electoral behaviour, technocracy & prime ministers
Jan Berz
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New publication with @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org: In “Crises and Electoral Accountability” I ask how voters evaluate governments after different exogenous crises - and which crisis characteristics affect performance & responsibility judgments by voters. OA: doi.org/10.1017/gov.... 1/9
Jan Berz
Overall, the article shows that voters draw on a broader array of crisis characteristics than existing research has captured - including opposition politicisation - to assess government crisis management. Future work should test these mechanisms with observational data. 9/9
Responsibility judgments are more constrained. Voters attribute responsibility for the crisis most clearly when blame signals are plausible: reduced prevention spending, expert warnings, and - more conditionally - elite cues around the crisis. 7/9
Existing research shows that crises shape retrospective voting, but we know far less about the specific crisis characteristics voters use to judge incumbents - especially with regard to responsibility for crisis severity. 2/9
Disaster relief matters substantially, but speed does not. Respondents rewarded larger relief efforts and visible executive involvement, while faster relief alone had little effect on performance evaluations. 6/9
