On behalf of the entire insurance industry, can i nudge any paleo-ENSO experts to write an op-ed addressing the Q whether the forecast El Niño has a chance to be the strongest in (at least?) the late Holocene?
A powerful El Niño Event is expected to develop during 2026.
How powerful? Well the seasonal forecasting models are currently all over the place.
So, somewhere between a Top 10 event in modern history and super-bonkers extreme crazy land. 🤔
🧪🌊