Chief Scientist for @berkeleyearth.org.
Physics PhD & data nerd. Usually focused on climate change, fossil fuels, & air quality issues.
Robert Rohde
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The simple reality is that seasonal forecasting is hard (and relatively new), and many of these models are just going to be wrong.
I'm expecting a strong El Niño event, and plan to follow the forecast updates closely, but remain very skeptical of the extreme upper end models.
