We have to face it: the biosphere modules of models are still trash!
They need a serious update on reality...
They miss massive carbon feedback's of all sorts - here how forests stop growing long before photosynthesis stops which models do not incorporate...
#climate #earth
So sad!
www.youtube.com/watch?v=ryN8...
#climate #earth #politics
www.science.org
Long-term carbon sequestration as woody biomass in oaks is decoupled from photosynthesis and more sensitive to climate change.
Now we are talking - like I say we are now in the non-quantifyable worst case while the IPCC canceled the worst case - made my day!
Earth's current heating rate is underestimated by a factor of two to three
Main reason likely a vicious cycle between the upper oceans and the atmosphere...
#climate
Sadly, research becomes meaningless in our post factual world...
We will just continue to accelerate till we crash big time...
#climate #earth
Here we have a expert opinion that no super El Nino will happen
But as we have so much heat in the tropical Pacific the next temperature jump could be triggered by a super event
It would be a climate system that wants to get rid of excess energy with all it's might...
Oopsi!
#climate #earth
It's a common tactic: engineer an incident you need to achieve what you want...
#politics
Just the possibility of an extreme El Nino so soon after the last one is a striking signal that we overcharge the oceans...
If we continue with such rates likely further accelerating fast we could end up with no options as we would have already too much inside the system
#climate #oceans #Earth
In terms of SST it remains suspiciously quiet...
How do we want to simulate the reaction of an Earth system whose processes we do not understand?
New surprises of how the system behaves happen now ever faster - here a ecological reaction of the rainforests to the exceptional drought in 2023/24
#climate #earth #forests
A thing I wonder about: solar radiation management cooling ocean surface air temperatures by 1°C wouldn't that mean that the ocean surface tries to adapt?
Setting free much more energy in the process?
Alt text
In any case we should start now as later it could be too late...
#climate #oceans #SRM
Plastic pollution is pervasive across ecosystems, but its impacts on biodiversity remain poorly understood. This Review assesses current understanding of exposure and biological effects, evaluating th...
The atmosphere over the Amazon rainforest shifts to lower-volatility, potentially more reactive compounds during severe drought, according to in-situ measurements of isoprene, monoterpenoids, and sesq...
El Niño is here, which means it's time for me to dust off and refine my old collection of ENSO-related climate visualizations. Check out how much sea surface temperatures have already warmed this year across the equatorial tropical Pacific. Wow!
Data from psl.noaa.gov/data/gridded...