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A couple of days ago Zelenskyy told Belarus that if they didn’t stop allowing the coordination of Russian strikes on Ukraine, Ukraine would sort it out for them. According to Russian military bloggers, Belarus is now jamming relay stations used for Russian targeting. That tells you who’s winning.
Ukraine is slowly demilitarizing Crimea. Without Crimea, russia can’t attack southern Ukraine and can’t hold the land corridor. Suddenly, Ukraine has a theory of *military* victory even though so many have claimed from day one that is pure fantasy.