Our latest capacity report , commissioned by the Department of Health, examines future GPs and General Practice Nurses.
Link 🔻🔻
We look at how equivalization scales and income-sharing units shape poverty and inequality metrics. The results? It really matters how you measure.
Our third and final national capacity report, commissioned by the Department of Health - Ireland and co-authored with @walshbp.bsky.social , is out today.
We find that long-term residential care and home support requirements will rise by at least 60% by 2040, driven primarily by population ageing.
◾ Inequality measures are less sensitive to equivalence scales but more sensitive to the choice of income-sharing unit.
◾ Metrics like the P90/P10 ratio show greater volatility over the business cycle when using sub-household units.
Delighted to share our latest @esri.ie report, coauthored with @aoifebrick.bsky.social & H. Humes, funded by the Department of Health.
We project that Ireland will need at least 40% more inpatient beds in public acute hospitals by 2040, mostly due to population growth & ageing.
Key projections :
- ED attendances to rise up to 27%
- Outpatient attendances to grow by up to 28%
- A need for 4,400 to 6,800 additional inpatient beds
- A need for 650 to 950 additional day patient beds
◾ Poverty estimates vary depending on the equivalence scale—especially for young children and the elderly.
◾ Most of this variation is driven by changes in the adult weight in the equivalence scale.
📕New paper out! After a long journey, our work with Mark Regan is published in the International Journal of Microsimulation. We explore how choices in measuring household income affect poverty & inequality estimates. 📘 www.microsimulation.pub/articles/00321
The report explores several policy options to moderate future demand — including healthy ageing and expanded home support — but even under optimistic scenarios, substantial increases in care provision will still be necessary.
Read the full @esri.ie report here:
www.esri.ie/news/new-esr...
A range of scenarios and policy options are explored, to help guide long term planning.
Read the full report here:
esri.ie/publications...
