The combination of a very strong #ElNiño - which should reduce harvests across Asia, Australia, Africa, and parts of the Americas - with soaring fertilizer and fuel prices, owing to the ongoing closure of the Strait of #Hormuz, could make for a devastating year of food shortages and social unrest.
Dagomar Degroot
I've updated my El Niño forecast plume with the latest April data (ECMWF, NMME, CFSv2, Canadian models). Its now looking like it might end up giving 2015/2016 a run for its money in terms of strength, with a peak of ~2.6C in the ENSO3.4 region by end of year: dashboard.theclimate...
