"A tireless chronicler and commentator on all things climate" -NYTimes.
Climate research lead @stripe, writer @CarbonBrief, scientist @BerkeleyEarth, IPCC AR7 lead author / NCA5 author.
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This would have resulted in an increase in atmospheric CO2 of 6.5 ppm by 2025, compared to 8.3 ppm in our analysis of total CO2 emissions.
So we can say that approximately 78% of the avoided increase in atmospheric CO2 was from slower fossil fuel growth, and 22% from falling land use emissions:
To answer this, lets run a version of our analysis only looking at fossil fuel emissions, what actually happened, and what would have happened if 2000-2013 growth rates continued:
A number of folks were asking how much of this change comes from slower fossil fuel growth (e.g. due to cheap clean energy and some coal-to-gas switching) and how much comes from declining land use emissions.
Zeke Hausfather
Zeke Hausfather
Zeke Hausfather
Zeke Hausfather
Global CO2 emissions have plateaued since 2013, leading to a slower growth in atmospheric CO2 than would have otherwise been the case. In a new analysis at The Climate Brink, I've taken look at what would have happened if emissions had continued to grow: www.theclimatebrink....
