In Central Texas in fact it’s been the rainiest spring/early summer I can remember
Saul Elbein
There's already a lot of misinformation about this year's forecast El Niño, and particularly the prospects of associated drought.
This is an excellent correction from @climatefreund.bsky.social who knows more about ENSO and rainfall than just about anyone.
TLDR: Hot and dry aren't the same thing!
The odds of a ‘monster El Niño’ developing this year are now as high as 80 per cent. But that is a risk factor not a definite forecast – a big El Niño does not necessarily mean a big dry for Australia...
