He’s right. Russia’s daily war crimes are being presented as a new normal. It’s not normal and we must, as he says, lean in harder.
These accidental and not-so accidental incursions test NATO's collective defence. Failure to respond proportionately invites both repetition and escalation - what's an accident now, may not be next time.
@centreeuropeanref.bsky.social puts it bluntly in a new study: Germany is the epicenter of the 'China Shock 2.0.' Unlike in the 2000s, Beijing is no longer just targeting the fringes of the global market, but is now aiming directly at the industrial heart of the German economy.
buff.ly/ofTqdEW
An important piece of work by my @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social colleague @armida.bsky.social . The apparent collapse of the FR-GE-ES FCAS aircraft project shows again the gap between Europe's rhetoric & its performance in rearmament. This paper offers some potential quick wins.
Excellent! European leaders meeting Zelenskyy in the UK today need to read this: stop talking about negotiations, step up the military and economic pressure on Putin.
Important thread, on how West can disrupt Russian missile production, including by stricter controls on RU imports of W dual-use items via third countries. My proposal: copy rules on strict liability for firms for eg labour violations in supply chains, impose strict liability on end-use control.
Absolutely right. Russia has observed no red lines (not even those laid down by international humanitarian law and the laws of war); so why on earth should Ukraine's Western partners force Kyiv to handicap itself? UA is doing better now it's ignoring nervous Westerners & targetting what it needs to.
🔎 This analysis on Xpert.Digital explains why Germany has become the “epicenter of the China Shock 2.0.” 🚨 It shows how massive Chinese subsidies, overcapacities, and an undervalued exchange rate…
I have argued for a long time that NATO air defence should be extended to cover at least the Western part of Ukraine, so that drones can be brought down as early as possible. That would protect both Ukrainian & NATO citizens & infrastructure. Western fear of escalation only leads to RU escalation.
Former MI6 Chief Richard Moore: Ending the war requires Putin’s desire to stop. There has never been any indication that he wants to end his war of aggression against Ukraine.
We must lean in harder alongside Ukrainians to help them stop Russia from bombing defenseless civilians
Centre for European Reform
⚡️Drone reportedly strikes residential building in Romania.
A drone reportedly struck a residential building in Galati, Romania, overnight on May 29, news outlet Viata Libera reported, as an air raid alert was declared in all of Ukraine.
Ian Bond
Ian Bond
Ian Bond
Ian Bond
Video
FREDERIKSEN: One of the things where I have disagreed with some of my colleagues is all the red lines that have been put on Ukraine, because I don't think you can win a war with red lines.
You remember in the beginning, we were willing to give away some of our F-16s.
Ian Bond
A drone reportedly struck a residential building in Galati, Romania, overnight on May 29, news outlet Viata Libera reported, as an air raid alert was declared in all of Ukraine.
Europe needs to rapidly improve its deterrence.
A new @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social / Hanns Seidel Foundation paper by @armida.bsky.social outlines key steps European governments can take in the next 1-2 years to accelerate rearmament, readiness and deterrence efforts.
Read here: buff.ly/rwfLU1S
Europeans should have woken up long ago to the risk that the US under Trump would leave them exposed to Russia. Now they will need to rearm and fill gaps at speed. And -looking at the UK, for example - finance ministries can't be allowed to decide whether a nation is defended or not.
Video
Kate from Kharkiv
Russland produziert heute grob geschätzt etwa 850 ballistische Raketen pro Jahr: etwa 60 Iskander‑M pro Monat und etwa 10 Kinzhal. Dazu nutzt Russland Bestände von S‑300/S‑400-Raketen im Bodenmodus als ballistische Raketen.
'Re-arming Europe: Short-term priorities for personnel, public support and procurement': @armida.bsky.social of @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social introduces her timely paper tonight in co-operation with Hanns-Seidel-Stiftung at the Bavarian Representation in Brussels. share.google/IjoMy2y0sUmh...
The Kyiv Independent
My latest for @policymag.bsky.social
“we should not be looking for a change of heart in the Kremlin, but for signs of a systemic failure [..]
Until then, hopes for a “negotiated settlement” serve only to prolong the bloodshed. Russia will not take an off-ramp; it needs to be defeated.”
