As a follow up to yesterday’s post. This graph uses a different index (rONI) which accounts for the warming climate baseline and the tropical ocean mean outside the El Niño region during each time period. Here we see the 2026 dynamical model forecast is still the highest, but much less so… 1/
Jeff Berardelli
The forecast strength of this El Niño is astonishing! Plotted below are all the strongest El Nino’s on record vs the 2026 forecast (thick white line). Look at how deviant this event has the “potential” to be! Forget “Super”, if this verifies it deserves “Supercalifragilistic expialidocious!”… 1/
