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Same @WeatherProf as Twitter. Posting about climate and weather. Chief Meteorologist and Climate Specialist WFLA NBC Tampa
Jeff Berardelli





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That’s because the impacts of the developing Pacific #ElNino don’t fully ramp up until mid summer. So for now the impending event has limited impact on subduing the Atlantic. That will change in a couple of weeks when the Pacific overpowers the Atlantic and quieter than normal conditions prevail.
NHC has outlooked its first potential development in the SW Gulf today - a lemon 🍋 just 10% so far in the Bay of Campeche. It poses no threat to #Florida or the US. But early season storms are common in El Niño years - we get about 2 per event… 1/2
Morning temps are rising faster than afternoon temps. And it really shows during some heatwaves, especially ones in which the humidity is higher. Case in point: over the next 5ish days we will see 100s of record or near warm morning lows across the Eastern half of the nation & along the W. Coast too
and merge with a moist trough of low pressure in the Bay of Campeche. When that happens in 2-3 days there’s a short window for the system to develop. The chances are not very high, but if it becomes a tropical storm the name will be #Arthur This does not look like a strong system… 2/
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“Crossover” storm may bring the first Atlantic system of the season! The National Hurricane Center has highlighted the SW Gulf for a chance of development. If it happens, it will be in a somewhat unique way. The remnant spin of Pacific Storm #Cristina will move across Mexico… 1/