So close...
'An Iranian official tells me there are still two outstanding issues on the proposed MOU and depending on the position the U.S. takes on these, an agreement could be signed swiftly. [...] Iran assesses Trump wants to sign before the G7 summit.'
x.com/jeremyscahil...
NEW I Iranian statements regarding the contents of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding (MoU) indicate that some terms of the agreement are at odds with stated US positions on the Strait of Hormuz in recent months. (1/4)
Read more: www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/ira...
Iran is likely attempting to structure the MoU and the phasing of a final agreement to reduce US leverage before later negotiations over the nuclear program. (2/4)
Iranian Foreign Affairs Minister Abbas Araghchi’s readout of the MoU is largely consistent with IRGC-affiliated media’s readout of the latest possible agreement, which may indicate a growing consensus among Iranian regime leaders on Iran’s red lines for negotiations. (4/4)
Iranian media appears to be portraying a possible MoU as a tactical pause in the war rather than a final settlement, likely to manage expectations, extract early economic benefits, and postpone difficult issues to the second phase of the negotiations. (3/4)
Iran gains access to billions of dollars in frozen assets in exchange for reopening the Strait of Hormuz for just six weeks.
No nuclear talks required. The deal is narrowly focused: open the strait, ease the crisis, release the money.
Expect Israel to blow the MOU in hours, not days.
#ProudBlue #DV1
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