Does El Niño forecasting have their own version of a "hot models" problem?
There are currently 13 seasonal forecast ensembles used to predict future El Niño / La Niña.
Diversity is good, but there remains broad disagreement among them, with some suggesting all-time records.
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Brilliant visual storytelling here from Jess Carr and Callum Thomson - analysing the seismic shifts seen in the local and national election results #dataviz #localelections2026 www.bbc.co.uk/news/resourc...
Update: NOAA has formally declared the start of El Niño www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana...
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Lovely story on the BBC about iceberg a23a, which has given us decades of fun but is now nearing its end…
Really enjoyed talking with Mark Poynting about this one-time behemoth.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/resourc...
Do you live in the UK? Have you ever wondered how many England football players come from your area? Even if you haven't, you probably want to check out this new piece: www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Today the WMO issued a warning that El Niño is imminent. The team's been hard at work to show you how we got here and what it might mean.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/resourc...
Back from leave and back to mapping.
BBC Verify is keeping close tabs on the conflict in the Middle East
In maps: Strikes across Iran and the Middle East www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Amidst the Epstein Files clamour, we’re still finding evidence of poor and inconsistent redactions. Days after the initial outcry: Naked images remained in Epstein files despite outcry www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
A23a was once twice the size of Greater London but now its 40-year journey is coming to an end.
Iranian strikes on targets across the Middle East and Gulf regions continued on Monday after the US and Israel launched strikes on Iran killing the country's supreme leader.
As somebody only marginally interested in the activities (is that even the right word) of Tilly Norwood, this interview with her (it?) was deeply engrossing. Plus a delightful tribute to the art of acting near the end. www.nytimes.com/2026/05/31/m...
We have provisionally broken the UK record for highest daily minimum temperature in May... again 😮
Temperatures didn't fall below 21.3°C overnight at Kenley Airfield, making it a 'tropical night' (no lower than 20°C).
Remarkably, the record was also broken yesterday.
