Gonna finish the write up on shotquality model v2 soon. This version goes back to the 96-97 season, and should be more comprehensive. Here are the top guys from that season
To where Im ok with chalking it up mostly to health. Maybe there is some significant long term concern, but at this point, im ok with betting on the prior. Plus hes still been very good this year, and in a ery different role, so there is some felxibility with him.
“Everyone runs pick-and-roll and jacks threes.” Kinda… but not really. I clustered team styles from iso/DHO/PnR to transition + O-glass and found 11 distinct identities. Dive in: open.substack.com/pub/hardscre... #NBASKY
Just dropped the new Shot-Making Model 2.0 - now covering 1996–2025 with play-by-play data, arena bias fixes, and era adjustments.
Curry ‘16 is still untouchable, KD has multiple all-time seasons, and some hidden gems pop up too.
🔗 hardscreenherald.substack.com/p/shot-quali...
#NBAKSY
Hey, sorry I haven't been posting on here for a bit. I'll post an full update soon. Here is where my board stands as of a few days ago. With DP, hes dropped a little bit with how good Boozer has been, but im still fairly optimistic with him. I think hes just played so differently this year
Just published: a deep dive into my player style clustering tool. From Dragic’s 2014 breakout to Giannis’s one-of-one profile, from OKC’s balance to the Lakers’ gaps - mapping the NBA by how guys actually play. Shoutout @gabriel1200.bsky.social for hosting the tool.
tinyurl.com/2p9rp8wm
#NBASKY
Havent posted here in a while. Here is my latest article. open.substack.com/pub/hardscre...
My Attempt at trying to Quantify Gravity
New article out: a broad look at my Top 20 guys for the 2026 draft.
hardscreenherald.substack.com/p/early-2026...
#NBASKY
Reverse Enigma
Reverse Enigma
Reverse Enigma
Reverse Enigma
Reverse Enigma
Reverse Enigma
Reverse Enigma
Reverse Enigma
New article up:
LASER (shooting threat, not just %) + BOOST (team spacing compounding).
Top LASER seasons: 2015–16 Curry, 2014–15 Korver, 2024–25 LaVine.
Top BOOST teams: 2023–25 Celtics, 2017–18 Rockets, 2016–17 Cavs.
Full piece + interactive tables: tinyurl.com/yck7n5u4
Reverse Enigma
New release for #NBAKSY, just in time for your morning coffee.
courtsketch.com/shotmaking
This is CourtSketchs's shotmaking page. Based upon @reverseenigma.bsky.social 's modeling work, it allows you to assess player shotmaking relative to shot quality for any player season over the last 12 years.🧵
