//
sign in
Profile
by @danabra.mov
Profile
by @dansshadow.bsky.social
Profile
by @jimpick.com
AviHandle
by @danabra.mov
AviHandle
by @dansshadow.bsky.social
AviHandle
by @katherine.computer
EventsList
by @katherine.computer
ProfileHeader
by @dansshadow.bsky.social
ProfileHeader
by @danabra.mov
ProfileMedia
by @danabra.mov
ProfilePlays
by @danabra.mov
ProfilePosts
by @danabra.mov
ProfilePosts
by @dansshadow.bsky.social
ProfileReplies
by @danabra.mov
Record
by @atsui.org
Skircle
by @danabra.mov
StreamPlacePlaylist
by @katherine.computer
+ new component
Profile
Loading...
Reverse Enigma
Loading...
New article out: a broad look at my Top 20 guys for the 2026 draft. hardscreenherald.substack.com/p/early-2026... #NBASKY
7mo
Reverse Enigma
Gonna finish the write up on shotquality model v2 soon. This version goes back to the 96-97 season, and should be more comprehensive. Here are the top guys from that season
9mo
Havent posted here in a while. Here is my latest article. open.substack.com/pub/hardscre... My Attempt at trying to Quantify Gravity
“Everyone runs pick-and-roll and jacks threes.” Kinda… but not really. I clustered team styles from iso/DHO/PnR to transition + O-glass and found 11 distinct identities. Dive in: open.substack.com/pub/hardscre... #NBASKY
Just published: a deep dive into my player style clustering tool. From Dragic’s 2014 breakout to Giannis’s one-of-one profile, from OKC’s balance to the Lakers’ gaps - mapping the NBA by how guys actually play. Shoutout @gabriel1200.bsky.social for hosting the tool. tinyurl.com/2p9rp8wm #NBASKY
Just dropped the new Shot-Making Model 2.0 - now covering 1996–2025 with play-by-play data, arena bias fixes, and era adjustments. Curry ‘16 is still untouchable, KD has multiple all-time seasons, and some hidden gems pop up too. 🔗 hardscreenherald.substack.com/p/shot-quali... #NBAKSY
New article up: LASER (shooting threat, not just %) + BOOST (team spacing compounding). Top LASER seasons: 2015–16 Curry, 2014–15 Korver, 2024–25 LaVine. Top BOOST teams: 2023–25 Celtics, 2017–18 Rockets, 2016–17 Cavs. Full piece + interactive tables: tinyurl.com/yck7n5u4
New article on trying to measure Shotmaking and Shot Quality open.substack.com/pub/hardscre... The data will be available soon on nbavisuals.com
2d
8mo
9mo
9mo
8mo
9mo
Reverse Enigma
How do you weigh something invisible? A five-step crawl from a rubber band around five players to a neural net — measuring the pull of a shooter, with all the wrong turns kept in.
open.substack.com
An Incomplete Theory of Gravity
Reverse Enigma
Reverse Enigma
Reverse Enigma
Reverse Enigma
Reverse Enigma
Reverse Enigma
New release for #NBAKSY, just in time for your morning coffee. courtsketch.com/shotmaking This is CourtSketchs's shotmaking page. Based upon @reverseenigma.bsky.social 's modeling work, it allows you to assess player shotmaking relative to shot quality for any player season over the last 12 years.🧵
9mo
Gabriel Guzman
hardscreenherald.substack.com
The 2026 NBA draft class is shaping up to be an exciting group, headlined by elite talent across positions.
Early 2026 NBA Draft Big Board: Top 20 Prospect Overview
open.substack.com
Who actually adds points once you account for the kinds of shots they take?
open.substack.com
Clustering playtypes to decode how each offense speaks
Beyond the Box Score: How Good Are You Really At Making Shots
Thirty Teams, Eleven Dialects
Recap: The Old Tracking-Based Model (Bins and Baselines)
hardscreenherald.substack.com
Shot Quality in High Definition: The Play-by-Play Upgrade
open.substack.com
Clustering player seasons shows who plays alike, and what teams are missing
From Dragic to Giannis: A Data-Driven Map of NBA Play Styles
tinyurl.com
Why 3-Point Percentage Falls Short as a Threat Metric
LASER: A Metric for Capturing Shooting Threat and Spacing