Seat projections from @ballotbox.scot based on our final @ipsosinscotland.bsky.social poll before #Holyrood2026 vote. May be a tough few days for Scottish Labour, and even tougher for the Scottish Conservatives.
Rachel Ormston
Poll Analysis: Ipsos 1st - 4th of May 2026
Holyrood seats projection:
SNP ~ 57
Reform ~ 20
Green ~ 18
Labour ~ 15
Lib Dem ~ 11
Conservative ~ 8
The final Ipsos poll of the campaign is good news for Reform, the Greens and Lib Dems, but bad for the SNP, Labour and Conservatives; nonetheless, there’d be a clear Pro-Independence majorit…
