This week, the ONS published their 2024-based population projections.
One huge shift expected to arrive this year is that the number of births is set to fall below deaths.
Our latest Substack considers what this means for public services and the economy➡️ buff.ly/DZEzpbc
New #ONS estimates of #families and #households in the #UK, up to 2025, were released today (www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula...). The most eye-catching finding is the trend towards living with parents, especially so for young men.
Here’s a thread with some key takeaways 🧵:
JUST PUBLISHED – From costs to culture: what’s behind falling fertility in rich countries?
By @ann-berrington.bsky.social & Hill Kulu
Kicking off at our event, Charlie McCurdy highlights why a Fair Pay Agreement in adult social care is sorely needed: care workers provide a huge amount of value to society, and lots of aspects of the job are rewarding…
New net migration figures show that international net-migration falls to 204k (like 2000s average).
Partly reflects ONS revisions to how they calculate the figure.
This is a big difference compared to the latest ONS projections, which don't forecast impact of policy or use the latest data.
For much more on the recent baby bust and its wide-ranging implications, see: www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications...
New birth registration stats show that being childless at 30 is increasingly becoming the norm.
Importantly, it’s too soon to know whether the recent fall in births will result in permanently fewer children or whether young people today will have (more) children later in life.
Estimates of families (with and without children) and household types, including people living alone in the UK in 2025.
www.ons.gov.uk
Fertility rates have fallen rapidly in the UK and other high-income countries in recent years. Education, economic uncertainty and changing gender roles are among the factors that have played a part.…