Wherein I mostly remind myself that journalism as it already exists --at least, as we already know how to do it-- is an extraordinary, irreplaceable knowledge technology, and whatever else needs fixing for it to thrive as it must it's not the discipline itself.
[1] Prediction market are mainly for sports but also for both profitable and pathetic plausibly treasonous corruption (OTOH, I wouldn't be the millionth person to note the multiple overlaps between war and sports in American culture, specially *this administration's* culture).
Restating the often stated, constant net access makes possible a texture for time that's ideal for some thing but not for others, and platform economics and our own instincts makes this the default, sometime to our detriment (depending of course on personal preferences etc).
[2] To be more technical, the way you make money in sports is by giving cheap shots to everybody so you make sure you get everybody with a vulnerability to develop alcoholism.