Professor of Comparative & Ukrainian Pols UoM
Democracy in Wartime/GeoPol/EU/DisInfo/Elections/Protest/Identity/Surveys 🇺🇦🇵🇱🇦🇷🇪🇺
đź“šZelensky Effect
đź“šMapping Mass Mobilization
VProf College D’Europe
Prev @ox.ac.uk Nuffield/StAntonys @harvard.edu @uoft.bsky.social
Olga Onuch
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Last year, we shared a paper showing that Labour's accommodation of the radical right did not work.
We now have a new version of the paper online: osf.io/preprints/so...
Immigration salience by party (top 3 issue)
Reform: 83% (1st priority)
Conservatives 33% (2nd priority)
Labour 17% (5th priority)
Green 16% (=6th priority)
Ipsos, 8th-12th May 2026
www.ipsos.com/sites/defaul...
It’s Europe Day!
Being a supporter of democracy increases the likelihood that a Pole would want Poland to stay in the EU by 12 percentage points at a statistically significant level.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
@jcms-eu.bsky.social
It’s Europe Day!
Being a supporter of democracy increases the likelihood that a Pole would want Poland to stay in the EU by 12 percentage points at a statistically significant level.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
@jcms-eu.bsky.social
This is a brilliant book by Sara and James!
Great article covering its main argument.
An argument that travels across to many cases globally.
Call for papers British Association for the Study of Ukraine (BASU) National Conference. Submissions welcome from scholars, policy & think tank professionals, across the Social Sciences, Humanities, Arts and Culture, STEM, & Government/NGOs/Industry.
thebasu.com/basu-nationa...
Deadline 25 June 2026
Paying peer reviewers works.
Expanded Fast & Fair experiment @biologyopen.bsky.social:
• 5.5 vs 37.7 working days to decision with reviews
• ~3 vs ~9 reviewer invitations per manuscript
• no reduction in editor-assessed review quality
• similar acceptance rates
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6...
My reading of public opinion on Brexit rn:
~most constituencies think the UK was wrong to have left the EU
~most constituencies will now be majority Rejoin given national polling (55-33)
~the national lead that Rejoin enjoys in the polls would tighten a fair bit during a campaign*
It is Europe day!
Democrats in Belarus (those who identify democracy as the best system for the country) are more likely to want Belarus to join the EU!
Being a democrat in Belarus increases the likelihood of wanting to join the EU by 22 percentage points!
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
It’s Europe day!
If someone didn’t support democracy in 2019 but became a supporter of democracy by 2021 the likelihood that they came to want Ukraine to join the EU increased by 20 percentage points!!
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
The BASU Chairs and Working Group Chairs Committee want you to SAVE THE DATE 23–26 September 2026 Submit Your Paper Proposal Deadline for Proposals June 15th, 2026 Register Your Attendance We are t…
Great piece in The Guardian by @chakrabortty.bsky.social on how Britain remains a country divided along Brexit lines - building on my new book with James Tilley:
"Tribal Politics. How Brexit Divided Britain" (global.oup.com/academic/pro...)
Read it here 👇
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Back in 2023, when @focaldata.bsky.social produced an MRP poll on Brexit, Makerfield was estimated as 51% agree (vs 31% disagree) that the UK was wrong to have left the EU.
Tribalism has not faded over the past decade. Instead, new research reveals our politics has become ever-more polarised and fractious, says Guardian columnist Aditya Chakrabortty
