New post out:
"How to beat Reform"
Using exclusive polling I look at what attack lines work best on Reform, which of their voters are most likely to defect, and the potential for tactical voting.
(£/free trial)
open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/h...
luka modric looks like a painting of an old testament saint whose martyrdom (trampled by goats at behest of pagan lord after refusing to stop devoutly yodelling) was ruled apocryphal some time around vatican 2
how it feels to put out of office on
Really pleased that @persuasionuk.bsky.social's work on the strengths and weaknesses of the Reform brand features in @samfr.bsky.social's substack today.
What happened in Makerfield?
Some new constituency polling between @persuasionuk.bsky.social & Convergent (most accurate pollster in the race!), covering among other things:
- Burnham assembling a coalition Lab needs nationally
- 'Get Starmer out' + 'public ownership' at the centre of it.
🧵👇
Really pleased to have written this piece in the latest edition of Renewal!
As a proud Bristolian, I have often been less proud of how its politics play out.
Looking jealously at Manchesterism, I took a deep (& opinionated) dive into the (non)workings of devolution in the West of England…
Some of our other work on this is here:
persuasionuk.org/research/ref...
As we approach a possible seventh prime minister in ten years, I try to explain the UK's instability in @politicshome.bsky.social.
The volatility is partly structural, but Labour's historical hangups and the Tories' unmoored powerseeking are also culprits.
www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
Free to read: @kirstymcneill.bsky.social on the "crisis of connection and solidarity", and why social democrats need to rebuild a democratic associational life:
renewal.org.uk/articles/all...
