Social scientist studying political economy, behavior, and climate change.
Prof @ University of Michigan
Research: www.alexgaz.org
Book: https://uncertainfuturesbook.com
Alexander F. Gazmararian
Loading...
Political responses to climate change are polarizing around new fault lines of vulnerability.
In our forthcoming book, we show that these diverging responses to climate change are reshaping local, national, and world politics.
press.princeton.edu/books/paperb...
Alexander F. Gazmararian
New paper: What did the IRA do to clean energy? And what does OBBBA change? Here's what 3 years of data and 11 models say:
- $729B in clean energy investment (+92%)
- Battery manufacturing up 8x
- Solar investment up 87%
- Wind investment DOWN 42%
- ZEV purchases: $252B (+173%)
We very much appreciate the thoughtful comments from our colleagues, reviewers, and the AJPS editorial team.
People in more vulnerable places will (1) suffer more adverse climate shocks and (2) be more likely to expect these shocks to recur.
These mechanisms suggest that belief updating from experience will depend on where people are located.
We find that only people in more vulnerable places become:
(1) more likely to see climate change as an immediate personal risk
(2) more likely to support mitigation policy
These effects are stronger in more democratic countries.
They're also stronger for people who are more exposed to the weather, e.g. those in agricultural areas.
Self-interest here means how a place will be affected by climate change in the future. Some areas are much more vulnerable than others.
Will the world wake up to global warming as people feel its effects?
We argue that the answer depends on individual self-interest.
We find that political responses to climate change are polarizing along lines of who is most vulnerable.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
We test our argument using:
- economic models of climate change
- geospatial data on climate shocks
- survey data of 148,712 people across 137 countries
- panel surveys of 9,500 Americans
Alexander F. Gazmararian
Alexander F. Gazmararian
You can read the article here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
