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Russia is intensifying its attacks on Europe & the US is withdrawing from its commitments to European security. Europe is stuck between a rock & a hard place. What can European govs do in the next 1-2 years to improve deterrence & readiness efforts? Read suggestions in my new report buff.ly/rwfLU1S
New episode of State of Play is out now: Four years into the war, is the balance finally shifting in Ukraine's favor? Together with @maxbergmann.bsky.social, I've joined @willtodman.bsky.social to discuss our trip to Kyiv and how recent developments are altering the course of the war.
Feels like something is moving in Germany. Conservative leader in EPP Manfred Weber “Either we fight back, or China will cripple parts of our industry. The EU must now use its trade policy instruments decisively and without hesitation"
Ukrainian drone strikes are impacting the Russian gasoline market again. This will be a space to watch in the coming weeks.
The death of #FCAS what does it mean for common European defence projects? Read this: csds.vub.be/publication/...
It often takes forever for Germany to change course, to recognize reality. But when it finally does move, it often does so decisively
We’re not saying we change from one horse to the other, but [if] one horse is not fast enough . . . let’s try [to] find a second horse” Switzerland weighs Franco-Italian air defence system in response to 5-year delay on US Patriot deliveries @mjruehl.bsky.social as.ft.com/r/ffb7cb56-9...
“The political temptation to slash U.S. oil exports amid high fuel prices is understandable, but likely to backfire in practice,” writes Clayton Seigle. Read more about the consequences of banning gasoline exports: https://bit.ly/4ul2RVv
Axios headlines over the past week: 5/23: Exclusive: What's inside the Iran deal Trump is close to signing 5/23: Exclusive: Trump says he's "50/50" on Iran deal, decision by Sunday 5/24: White House says Iran deal could take days [more below]
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Will speaks with Max Bergmann and Maria Snegovaya about their recent trip to Kyiv and if the shifting balance of power means the war may finally end soon.
www.csis.org
Is Ukraine Turning the Tide? | State of Play | CSIS Podcasts
There are key steps European governments can take in the next 1-2 years to accelerate rearmament, readiness and deterrence efforts.
www.cer.eu
Rearming Europe for deterrence: Short-term priorities and policy options
SAMP-T emerges as strong option for Bern as Raytheon’s Patriot system deliveries delayed for at least 5 years
as.ft.com
As the world borrows from oil inventory “savings” to offset the Middle East Gulf export closure, U.S. gasoline prices are likely to rise. But policymakers should avoid bad ideas like banning exports, ...
bit.ly
Switzerland weighs Franco-Italian alternative to US air defences
Banning Gasoline Exports Will Harm U.S. Energy Security
Nahal Toosi
Armida van Rij
Finbarr Bermingham
Janis Kluge
Daniel Fiott
Max Bergmann
Henry Foy
CSIS | Center for Strategic & International Studies
Feels like something is moving in Germany. Conservative leader in EPP Manfred Weber “Either we fight back, or China will cripple parts of our industry. The EU must now use its trade policy instruments decisively and without hesitation"
Hegseth at Normandy: "Sadly, today, different European beaches are stormed by different dangerous ideologies. Beaches in Spain and Italy and Greece and Bulgaria. Boats and men arrive. When will European capitals do something about that invasion? Or is it too late? I pray not, and I believe not."
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