We find all types of party switchers less likely to run again vs non-switchers. If seeking reelection, switching is bad for all (newly independent, splits, etc.) except defectors to other parties who can benefit from high list positions w/ new party even if their personal popularity drops. See 👇
It was a real privilege to deliver my UCL inaugural lecture last night. Thank you to everyone who came, and to those who sent kind messages. A recording will be online soon.
I argued that, viewed from the region, three key concepts in party research (new parties, electoral volatility and populist parties) gain a sharper focus, enhancing our understanding of party politics beyond its borders.