The week ahead takes an increasingly warm and humid direction, possibly going *bang* later on Friday. There is also emerging evidence that a properly summery pattern could anchor down by end of next weekend.
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It's notable that both operational run of GFS and ECM bring 20C isotherm even 22C at 1.5km. An exceptionally hot air mass into SE UK at end of this weekend and into early next week.
This still lacks support for now, but if we do see this v hot air flow which is expected across the channel.. (1/2)
The English Channel is separating us from getting “cooked” later this week.
In Paris 🇫🇷 5 consecutive >35C days are expected from this Thursday potentially peaking 38C/100F on Sunday combining with high humidity... (1/2)
The 1976 June record high of 35.6C would be in peril. I would suggest you watch the forecast extra closely in coming days given the close proximity of extreme heat. (2/2)
The heat & humidity will pose a significant challenge to wider population in mainland Europe where air conditioning remains scarce. Only 25% of homes in France have it. (2/2)
We are seeing some brutally hot model runs repeatedly now. France is particularly severely impacted.
Recent American model has 11 consecutive days above 32C in UK from this Friday up to when run ends, the notable thing GFS 12z was not in slightest an outlier.… (1/2)