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David Darmofal
Political scientist. Political behavior + methods. Spatial analysis. Speaking in a personal capacity. Opinions expressed are my own.









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This is very much cultural signaling by Trump to his base.
20h
David Darmofal
@drannieandrews.com's victory speech in South Carolina tonight.
I think we've found the most unusual first name for a candidate this cycle. This is the Democratic nominee for North Dakota's At-Large House seat. Try, give Hammer a chance, I guess.
Allendale County, SC was late to report. It has the highest percentage Black population of any county in SC. It was a Harris 71.6-26.9 county in 2024. Turnout in gubernatorial primaries tonight: R 208 D 802 Dem %: 79.4%. A solid overperformance after the R redistricting attempt & during Trump 2.0.
We've got a runoff in my congressional district.
👀 In heavily Republican Greenville county, SC (Trump 60.2-Harris 38.0), @drannieandrews.com currently has more votes than Lindsey Graham does due to Graham's unpopularity with the conservative base there. She has 15,844 votes to Graham's 13,914.
Only 26 of 149 precincts in Richland County, SC, the biggest Democratic county in the state, have reported so far. So there's a lot of additional Democratic vote that Dem candidates will be picking up here tonight.
Wow! We were talking about the Cook PVI for Joe Wilson's district, @tangentsafari.bsky.social. Look at these partisan vote totals so far and the relative percentages that are estimated to still be out. cc: @megkinnardap.bsky.social
20h
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David Darmofal
David Darmofal
My suggestion: take whatever money you were going to spend on Maine's Senate race and send it @drannieandrews.com's way instead. Maine's Democratic Senate nominee is not morally worthy of your money. Annie is. You can donate to her here. drannieandrews.com
David Darmofal
David Darmofal
David Darmofal
David Darmofal
David Darmofal
20h
the White House's UFC arena is all lit up tonight
Video
20h
David Darmofal
Here's Democrats' path to a Senate majority without selling out their values: Hold every current Dem seat Add Cooper, Peltola, Brown, and Talarico That does it right there. Then you can add Andrews & have Osborn & Bodnar not caucus with the Republicans.
Aaron Rupar
20h
YouTube video by FOX Carolina News