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. . . to ensure its survival, ultimately triggering major regional conflict.
Read the full analysis: tnsr.org/2026/06/what...
@nti.org
#Iran #NuclearProliferation #ForeignPolicy
In our new podcast episode, Herb Lin argues that unproven military tech lets policymakers gloss over operational flaws. It offers a convenient narrative to promise casualty reduction and simulate responsive action in unfavorable scenarios.
Geography is about more than just resources or strategic chokepoints. In our upcoming issue, Francis J. Gavin, the chair of our editorial board, argues that place fundamentally shapes identity and political realities.
Why are policymakers consistently drawn to the promise of revolutionary military tech despite repeated acquisition failures? Herb Lin reveals the persistent traps of technological overmatch, from "fallacy of the last move" thinking to the distinct architectural nature of AI.
He argues for a more rigorous assessment of emerging capabilities and greater support for field-level innovation.
Read more: tnsr.org/2026/06/new-...
#MilitaryInnovation #DefensePolicy #EmergingTech
He argues for a more rigorous assessment of emerging capabilities and greater support for field-level innovation.
Listen now: tnsr.org/2026/06/new-...
#MilitaryInnovation #DefensePolicy #EmergingTech
What are the strategic trade-offs of nuclear hedging?
@ebrewer.bsky.social examines Iran’s nuclear program from 2023–25 and argues that instead of providing a net advantage, Iran’s threshold status became a critical vulnerability that invited conventional attacks and degraded its security.
Reflecting on his deep connections to Texas, Gavin examines how a community's bond to its home drives its strategic priorities.
Read the full piece: tnsr.org/2026/06/the-...
#Geopolitics #Identity #StrategicStudies
Did Western military dominance inadvertently accelerate Iran’s nuclear ambitions? In our latest, @ebrewer.bsky.social examines the dangerous escalation cycle between the United States, Israel, and Iran.
He argues that conventional superiority drove Tehran to advance its nuclear program . . .
Read the full article: tnsr.org/2026/06/what...
@nti.org
#NuclearLatency #MiddleEast #ForeignPolicy
The 2023–25 conflict in the Middle East was the first regional conflagration in which Iran was a nuclear threshold state. In theory, nuclear latency can confer strategic benefits, as Iran’s…
Geopolitics has shifted from contests over physical territory to competition in other domains like space, cyber, information, and nuclear security, even as traditional geography and a deep sense of…
Herb Lin joins the podcast and explains US reliance on technological overmatch through the first offset (nuclear deterrence against Soviet conventional superiority), second offset (high-tech…
