Senior scientist at Oslo-based CICERO Center for International Climate Research • 🌍Global Carbon Project • https://robbieandrew.github.io/
Robbie Andrew
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Now that Poland's vehicle sales data have been published, we have enough to cover 78% of the EU market. Current estimate is that the total EU saw 21% BEV and 12% PHEV in May.
With sales data available for 73% of the EU market, it's possible to give a forecast of what the final data for May will be when ACEA release them towards the end of this month. Current estimate for May is 21% BEV and 10% PHEV across the EU.
Thermal imaging is (melo)dramatic. But it's true that data centres are being built rapidly, and that means no time is set aside for figuring out how to do more than promise sustainable solutions (= lip service). Gas and diesel are the go-to energy sources. And lots of them.
Just added an additional source of data for Spain (ANFAC), giving an earlier indication of sales in that country. Battery electric made up 10% in May.
robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/?la...
Emissions in road transport continue to decline with the high replacement rate of new EVs for older petrol/diesel cars.
The decline in emissions from the oil/gas sector stalled in 2025 as no new fields were connected to mainland hydropower.
As expected, emissions from industry were up in 2025, because emissions were artificially reduced in 2024 by various factors like massive maintenance and fire damage taking key plants offline. Here's one example (discussed here: robbieandrew.github.io/norway/norwa...)
GHG emissions went down only 1.2% in Norway in 2025, new data show. And it's only 1.0% if you adjust for the leap year in 2024. Back in November I said "All up it looks like emissions in 2025 won't go down as much as in 2024, and perhaps lie at about the same level."
Does El Niño forecasting have their own version of a "hot models" problem?
There are currently 13 seasonal forecast ensembles used to predict future El Niño / La Niña.
Diversity is good, but there remains broad disagreement among them, with some suggesting all-time records.
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🚗 Asia could electrify its road transport fleet within 20 years, HALVING total oil consumption and saving over $300 BILLION in annual oil imports.
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“2025 shows that a 'quiet' fire year globally can still be devastating," Dr Matthew Jones of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research at the University of East Anglia, who led the study, said🔥⬇️
Our thermal drones exposed pollution from a massive AI data center powering the AI boom.
www.pbs.org
Utslippene av klimagasser i Norge var på 44,1 millioner tonn CO₂-ekvivalenter i fjor. Det tilsvarer en nedgang på 1,2 prosent sammenliknet med 2024. Redusert utslipp fra veitrafikk bidro mest til nedg...
