Economics + Applied AI, Prof at University of Chicago Booth School of Business. Formerly: Carnegie Mellon, UCSD, Northwestern.
Website: www.aleximas.com
Alex Imas
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Economist Alex Imas has been tracking the evidence on AI and productivity changes, and now thinks that the macro-economic data is, rather suddenly, showing the increase in productivity that we have been seeing in our micro research. aleximas.substack.com/p/what-is-th...
New post: "Someday We Will All Be Artists"
How will AI impact art? Will artists be replaced? No. Art will change, but art makers will be most "automation proof" jobs out there. In fact, many jobs will take on characteristics that we associate with artists.
aleximas.substack.com/p/someday-we...
I wrote up some (late) predictions for 2026, mostly as a way to guide my own thinking and priorities.
Overall: 2026 is the year we will finally see real visible societal changes in response to AI. Discuss 3 reasons: agents, recursive science, continual learning.
open.substack.com/pub/aleximas...
Importantly, this is a living post. I will update it continuously as new data comes in. If you see something I'm missing, please let me know and I will add it.
For regular updates, please consider subscribing to the substack. Here is the link: aleximas.substack.com
There is also a disconnect on who benefits most: micro (mostly) finds low-skill/less-experienced workers see higher returns, the (limited) macro evidence is more mixed but leans toward higher wage/higher ed people seeing more of the benefits. 2/n