It’s not the average outcome of global warming we should fear.
It’s the extremes already possible under “moderate” warming.
New study: even ~2 °C warming can produce climate impacts as severe as average projections at 3–4 °C.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Extreme global climate outcomes may occur even under moderate 2 °C warming and may turn out to be more extreme than model-averaged projections at 3 °C or 4 °C warming.