Postdoc at ETH Public Policy Group & Immigration Policy Lab. Political Communication, Public Opinion, NLP.
Nicolai Berk
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New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social)
Do opinion polls shape election results?
Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
I was a bit annoyed at a pipeline constantly sending me alerts that it broke - so why not have Claude fix it?
nicolaiberk.com/posts/mainta...
"Magyar noted that his government will be investigating Orbán’s expenditures, and will no longer finance CPAC or other right-wing institutions abroad."
nice
newrepublic.com/post/209035/...
To understand what the Supreme Court is doing, you have to recognize that this is how authoritarians in Hungary, Turkey, and Venezuela consolidated power. Scholars call it autocratic legalism.
The Court isn’t complicit. It’s an active participant. Roberts is following a script.
📢 We are very happy to have Jana Jung for our third session of the TADA Spring Speaker Series.
Jana will present recently published work on whether psychometric tests work for LLMs.
When? 15th of April, 5pm (Berlin time)
Where? Online (Sign up for the newsletter at tada.cool)
See you there!
Switzerland will soon vote on whether to cap its population. But who is actually entitled to vote?
In one of the 26 cantons, a majority of residents have *no* political rights (50.3%).
A minority of residents is empowered to decide the fate of those who are most directly affected by the outcome
We're excited that @nschwitter.bsky.social will join us for the next session of the TADA Spring Speaker Series to present work on AI-generated images as experimental treatments.
When? **Thursday**, April 30, 17:00 (Berlin time)
Sign up for our newsletter at tada.cool for the Zoom link!
In June, Switzerland will vote on what is so far the most radical far-right popular initiative launched by the Swiss People‘s Party SVP: capping the population at 10M (currently ≈9.1M).
In this thread, I’ll break down what it’s about and how it fits into broader findings on Swiss direct democracy